Gold Holds Above $3,430 as Oil Market Slips

2025-08-12 | Commodities , Crude Oil , Gold , Market Dynamics , Precious Metals

Gold Highlights

On Monday, gold prices tumbled 1.6%, hitting an intraday low of $3,341.25 per ounce—the lowest in over a week. December gold futures closed 2.5% lower at $3,404.70 per ounce.

Last Friday, reports suggested that Washington might impose country-specific import tariffs on bullion with the highest trading volumes in the US. This briefly sent gold prices surging to record highs as investors rushed to hedge against potential trade friction. However, during New York trading hours, the White House clarified that the reports on bullion tariffs were “misinformation,” prompting gold to give up its gains.

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst at Kitco Metals, noted that once this uncertainty faded, market sentiment turned bearish, leading traders to offload positions and shift focus to other potential gold-supportive factors such as prospects of Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Gold – Technical Outlook

(Gold Futures, 1-day chart) 

Gold – Today’s Outlook

Maintain a trend-following approach in line with the main market bias.

  • Upside Resistance: $3,405–$3,400
  • Downside Support: $3,390–$3,400

Crude Oil Highlights

International oil prices edged higher as the US and a major Asian nation extended their tariff suspension agreement by 90 days, easing trade concerns. Market optimism also grew ahead of an upcoming US-Russia meeting, which could potentially reduce risks of disruptions to Russian oil supplies.

Brent crude futures were flat at $66.65 per barrel, while US WTI crude futures inched up to $63.89 per barrel.

Attention is now turning to the August 15 meeting between the US President and the Russian President in Alaska, aimed at seeking a resolution to the Russia–Ukraine conflict and avoiding tougher secondary sanctions on buyers of Russian oil, including major Asian nations and India.

Daniel Hynes, Senior Commodity Strategist at ANZ, said: “Any peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine would remove a long-standing risk of Russian oil supply disruptions in the market.”

From a technical perspective, crude prices held above the $63 level yesterday, staging a choppy rebound. In US trading, prices briefly broke above $64.40 before retreating, ending the day with a modest recovery. Overall, oil prices remain in a narrow, mixed-recovery pattern.

Crude Oil – Technical Outlook

(Light Crude Oil Futures, 1-day chart) 

Crude Oil – Today’s Outlook

Wait patiently for key levels before entering positions.

  • Upside Resistance: $64.5–$64.7
  • Downside Support: $63.5–$63.8

Risk Disclosure

Securities, Futures, CFDs and other financial products involve high risks due to the fluctuation in the value and prices of the underlying financial instruments. Due to the adverse and unpredictable market movements, large losses exceeding your initial investment could incur within a short period of time.  
Please make sure you fully understand the risks of trading with the respective financial instrument before engaging in any transactions with us. You should seek independent professional advice if you do not understand the risks explained herein. 

Disclaimer

This information contained in this blog is for general reference only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation, an offer, or an invitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. It does not consider any specific recipient’s investment objectives or financial situation. Past performance references are not reliable indicators of future performance. D Prime and its affiliates make no representations or warranties about the accuracy or completeness of this information and accept no liability for any losses or damages resulting from its use or from any investments made based on it. 
The above information should not be used or considered as the basis for any trading decisions or as an invitation to engage in any transaction. D Prime does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report and assumes no responsibility for any losses resulting from the use of this report. Do not rely on this report to replace your independent judgment. The market is risky, and investments should be made with caution. 

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